Showing posts with label football. Show all posts
Showing posts with label football. Show all posts

Friday, January 9, 2009

Outcome

Alright, so maybe it wasn't a blowout. Maybe the Gators didn't quite separate themselves from the Oklahoma impostors as much as I would have liked. Maybe that lends a bit of credit to Oklahoma. Or maybe I'm just drunk and giving too much credit where none is deserved (true; drunk, that is). Supposedly the most prolific scoring offense in division one FOOTBALL HISTORY... my anus. Yeah, thats right. My. Anal. Orifice. The highest scoring and supposed best offense in college football history couldn't score more than 14 points against the Gators? Get the fuck over it, people. The Gators held the Sooners to less than half of their previous low score for the season. I will restate the absolute obvious. What happens when the Sooners encounter a mediocre defense? They lose. What happens when the Sooners encounter the Gators? Feeding time.

Now, just because I'm a cocky motherfucker, I will further validate my previous post concerning the defensive points allowed for each team. I will state now that the statistics that I uncovered were deadly accurate when compared to the title game.

I stated on Tuesday that before their one loss of the season, Oklahoma allowed 18.3 points per game. After their one loss, they were allowing an average of 29 points per game from opponents. These two figures combine for a season 23.8 points per game allowed by Oklahoma. Remember that number.

I also stated that the Gators allowed 12.5 points before their loss to Ole Miss, and after their loss allowed an average of 13.0 points per game from opponents. These combine for a season 12.8 points per game allowed. Remember, if you will, this number as well.

Would anyone like to recall the score of the National Title Game? Gators 24, Oklahoma 14.

Compare this score with the statistics stated above. In the National Title Game, Oklahoma allowed 24 points, just 0.02 points above their season average. Need I say more? The Gators allowed 14.0 points to Oklahoma in the National Title Game. This, just 1.2 points over their average of the entire season.
Both teams gave up almost exactly as many points as they had previously set a precedence for.

If I ever find myself the coach of the most prolific offense in the history of the game (which I most certainly will not), I would expect that offense to score more than one point over my opponent's season average of points allowed. Especially if my fans talk as much trash as Oklahoma's do. Although, I guess most of Oklahoma's fans don't have the IQ to figure out how to back up their own arguments. Especially when those arguments are completely unfounded and irrational.

The proof was on the scoreboard, for all to see. The proof was in the crystal football, held on high by Tim Tebow, for all to see.

Two words:

Go Gators.




On the beat box: We are the Boys of Old Florida

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Outlook...

Quick post here regarding the upcoming National Title match up between Florida and Oklahoma. I've been doing a little research of my own this morning and have come up with some interesting numbers. Several supposed football experts have actually compared Florida's and Oklahoma's seasons, saying they have some very similar characteristics. These experts argue that both Florida and Oklahoma were dealt losses during their seasons from which they then rebounded significantly. The Sooner nation is very proud of the fact that they are the only team in history to have scored sixty or more points in five consecutive games, and that these five games came after their one loss of the season. Let me shed some light on the reality of the situation. Please note that these stats do not take into effect variables like home/away games or strength of schedule.

Before Oklahoma's loss to rival Texas, the Sooners were scoring an average of 2.5 points for every point scored against them by opponents. Since their loss to Texas, this ratio has declined significantly to 2.04 points for every one allowed. This is an almost 20% decrease in scoring efficiency after their so-called "rejuvenating" loss. These numbers combine for a season 2.2 points scored for each point allowed.

The Gators, on the other hand, started their season scoring 2.8 points for every point scored by opponents. After the loss to Ole Miss, the Gators significantly improved their scoring efficiency to 3.8 points per point allowed. This is a near 30% increase. These figures combine to for a season 3.3 points scored for every point allowed.

Oklahoma allowed 18.3 points per game before their loss to Texas, and a whopping 29 points per game since the loss to Texas, almost a 40% increase in points scored against. The Gators on the other hand went from allowing 12.5 points per game before the loss to Ole Miss to allowing 13.0 points per game after the loss, less than a 5% increase.

The results as far as I am concerned? Sure, Oklahoma can put up big numbers consistently against teams like Texas A&M and Oklahoma State, but they also get scored on a lot, which translates into having a soft defense. What happens when they encounter a somewhat strong offense and a mediocre defense like the Longhorns? They lose. What happens when they encounter the Gators? Feeding time.

I am no mathematician, but I believe someone much more intelligent than I can combine these numbers with other variables, like strength of schedule, to find a sort of equation. I am positive this equation would show mathematic proof of exactly how badly we're going to tear apart the Oklahoma Sooners on January 8th.

Of course, in two days we wont need such an equation. The proof will be on the scoreboard for all to see. The proof will be the crystal football, held high in the hands of Tim Tebow, for all to see.

Two words:

Go Gators.


On the beat box: Bob Marley - Reaction